Will Crushing the Cartels Require US Military Intervention?

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Ed Calderon

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Ed Calderon is a security specialist and combatives instructor with over 10 years experience in public safety along the northern border area of Mexico. Follow him online @ManifestoRadioPodcast https://www.edsmanifesto.com

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What's the ceiling on this? Like if they can continue to grow, I mean, it's really, is it possible that we're looking at a country that might be completely run and overrun by criminal organizations and drug sellers? Some parts of it are already. So what I think is going to happen is you'll see escalations, a clear sign or a clear group that is like a sign of things to come is the new generation cartel. The new generation cartel is a cartel that was, it used to be called Los Matasetas. It was basically an armed enforcing group that seen the law cartel made to go after their main rivals, the Setas, which were originally members of special Mexican special forces that said, you know what, we're going to be cartel guys now in cartel enforcers now. So they whole sorted history. It was a militarized group that was formed to go after them. And their whole kind of play was that we're going to be against extortion, against abducting people, against affecting the community. We're going to enforce the law in our communities, but we're also going to move drugs through here. But that's kind of their thing. So you see this group started kind of growing in the region. And right now it's pretty big. It's rivaling the law cartel as far as power and reach. But the way they do their things is militarized. It's very militaristic and kind of paramilitary. And it kind of reminds me a little bit about the FARC groups in Colombia. Hearts and minds, they go into the communities, the community policing in the area. They originally said, you know, we're aware the government wants to fight drugs here in the region. We're going to fight their fight, but we are also going to fight against these guys that are affecting the community as well. And they have groups of people. They have training camps, militaristic training camps where they recruit people, they take them there, and they're being trained in guerrilla warfare and shooting. And apparently there's some SF guys from the US that advise them. So that's the next thing. The escalation of a simple ragtag group of cartel guys enforcing the region to an actual cohesive paramilitary group. Now trying to vie for control, not just of the drug routes, but also of the populace and the confidence that the populace has in them. So it could turn political at some point, right? It just seems like it's the genie's out of the bottle. I mean, it is. It is in a lot of ways. And going after it just as a drug enforcement issue is not... So much bigger than that. Yeah. It's cultural. It's economic. Some of these kids, I've posted up some of these cartel soldier kids, 12 years old. Gold-plated guns. Gold-plated guns. They don't have options in their lives. It's that or nothing. It's either awesome life or... Short awesome life. Short awesome life. Yeah, short awesome life or extreme poverty. So that's one component to it. Another component is systemic corruption as a society from who knows when. It's always been a thing in Mexico. People that grew up down there, you get stopped at a red light and you're like, can I pay the fine here? People that are from down there will be aware of this. Yeah, show the paperwork. You just slide that thing in there. That's part of the culture. That's affecting a lot of things as well. People don't pay attention to the small rules, so the big rules don't matter. Just being next to the largest drug market on the planet and having money, firearms, rounds going down and fentanyl that is being fabricated in Mexico now and some of the Chinese fentanyl making its way through into the US, kind of filling the voids that some of the drug market has right now. So they're making fentanyl-laced, fake fentanyl-laced pills that are being put into the US and fentanyl-laced heroin, right? So that's where they're going towards now. That's why you see this epidemic up here. And a lot of things traditionally kind of focused on pot before it was legalized and a lot of reasons up here now is heroin and fentanyl. So it's actually kind of accelerated the production of the more harmful and dangerous drugs. In some ways, yes. I mean, they had to find another, you know, it went pot, meth, and now fentanyl-laced heroin or fentanyl-laced pills. See, and the problem with the idea of legalization is that if you try to be the person who says, hey folks, we need to legalize drugs here in America because we've got this problem with the cartels, politically that's suicide. Yeah. No one, I mean, even though it's probably right. I think it is very right. It's one of those things that's so counterintuitive that most people are going to go, you're crazy. You're going to make my kids hooked on drugs? Well, I'll say this. I fought in the drug war. I'm literally a drug war veteran. And if I had a white flag, I would hand it over to you. It's a useless fight. I got to destroy pot fields. Realistically thinking about all the effort and all the blood, I'm like, it's just pot. Yeah. And it's so quick to grow back. I mean, it is a fruitless fight. Fentanyl, heroin, maybe different drugs. Fentanyl in particular. But a lot of that Fentanyl is coming from China. It's not a Mexican thing. Oh, yeah. A lot of the people that are making or producing Fentanyl in places like Mexico are from China, setting up laboratories in Mexico. So it's a Chinese-Mexican-U.S. problem as well. God damn. What can be done other than the legalization? What can be done? I mean, how does... Unless the United States literally goes to war with the Mexican cartels. And you made a face talking about that. I mean, I'd say designation is one of... I think designation should... It's going to happen. A terrorist designation. It's going to happen. I mean, again, we just saw the murder, the massacre of Mexican dual citizenship. Nine people, kids, women. It's not uncommon for that to happen to Mexican nationals. It's pretty uncommon for that to happen to American nationals down there. And that woke up a bunch of people. And now another recent murder of another American national kid with his parents down there. People will say, but just don't go down to Mexico. But some of these people live down there, have family down there, have communities down there. It's just ultraviolet. People have to wake up on this side to realize this problem is not going to get any better. This problem is not just a Mexican problem. It's a U.S.-Mexican problem. And it'll get to a point where it's going to be... I think in my life there's going to be some sort of armed intervention in Mexico at some point. Really? So you anticipate almost like in a civil war. I think something's going to happen in Mexico that's going to destabilize it so much that the U.S. won't have another option but to put something around probably. I think that's where we're headed. The problem, and again, another problem is that the government is part of the problem. So you can go down there and negotiate with this government, but six years later it's going to be another government. You've got to renegotiate with them. Yeah, and also... With you, Palm Grease. Yeah, and then you put all your faith in the military and the military gets compromised. You put all the faith in the Mexican Marines and then they get compromised. And now who do you have? So it's systemic. Don't tell that to Trump. At least he'll use that as an excuse. We can't count on them. We're going in. We're going in.